Investment Basics
The basic idea behind investment is simple – use your money to make more money. The money you invest in securities (shares issued by companies, debt securities and other investment units) is called "capital" and the money created is the "return on investment". With investment in shares, the return comes in two forms – capital gain and dividend income.
Capital Gain
Capital gain comes
from increasing share prices. When investors buy shares, they want the
price of those shares in the market to be higher in the future. The
higher the future prices, the bigger the capital gain for investors.
Capital gain can occur rapidly - in days or even hours when share
prices are volatile - or slowly.
Prices rise for many reasons
but most fundamentally they rise because the outlook for a company's
future profitability is improving. The biggest and most obtainable
capital gains come from the shares of companies that grow and increase
their profits over time.
Capital losses occur too, and sometimes
very rapidly. When a company's profitability is declining or its
outlook is poor, the share price will probably fall and shareholders
lose.
Capital gains become a cash return on investment when
investors sell their shares - they get back their capital plus an
amount accrued because of the higher selling price.
Dividend Income
Companies
often pay dividends out of their profits. Dividends are a means of
sharing the money made by companies with their owners. Just as property
owners receive return in the form of rent from their tenants, share
owners receive dividends as regular income.
Shareholders in many
companies receive dividends twice a year. New Zealand has one of the
highest levels of return from dividends in the world.
When the
amount paid out is high, dividends can be a big part of total
investment returns since companies are retaining less money to reinvest
in the business to grow potential future profits. On the other hand,
some companies pay no dividends and keep profits to help fund growth in
their business.
Equity Securities (Shares)
A share
is a piece of ownership in a company. Buying shares in a company makes
you a partial owner of that company. The more shares you buy, the
bigger your ownership stake becomes and the more say you can have in
how the company is run.
Along with ownership, a share gives you
the right to vote at company general meetings and have a say in how the
company is run - one vote for every share you own. However one of the
realities of the sharemarket is that individual investors rarely get to
own enough shares to be able to alone exert any significant influence
over a company - that's usually for big institutional shareholders.
Consequently, it is important to carefully research the competence of
company management before you buy shares. The best measure of that may
be the company's ability to consistently produce profits over time.
Debt securities (Bonds)
Debt securities can be used
to diversify your portfolio and provide a steady return stream. They
represent an amount of money lent to a company or other entity, such as
the Government.
When a company or other entity issues debt
securities it borrows money from the buyers of the securities, who
become the lenders. Holders of debt securities receive returns in the
form of regular interest payments ("coupons") from the borrower. They
also get their original money back at a pre-defined date - the
"maturity date" of the debt security.
How are shares valued?
Company Profits
Or
more precisely expected future profits - are the fundamental indicator
of share prices. Companies must report their profits at least twice a
year and investors pore over these numbers - often expressed as
earnings per share (EPS) - trying to gauge a company's present health
and future potential. With any company, there will always be different
views on future profits and all the factors that make its business
successful or not. Share prices should reflect the combination of all
such competing views at a particular time.
The market rewards
both fast earnings growth and stable earnings growth. Investors will
even buy shares in a non-profitable company that promises to earn a lot
in the future (as happened during 1998's explosion in Internet stocks).
Declining profits or unexplained losses have a negative effect on share
prices. Companies that surprise the market with bad financial or
earnings reports are almost always punished with falling share prices.
As
well as shares, there are several other types of equity securities
listed on the NZSX and NZAX Markets.
Company Analysis and Valuation
Company
analysis is the means by which investors and their advisors (many
working in NZX Firms) seek to arrive at the best investment decisions.
By analysing past performance and the state of today's business,
analysts attempt to predict what is likely to happen tomorrow to a
company's profits, cash flows and ability to pay dividends.
Company
analysis can be a quick check on financial health and profit prospects,
or painstaking research using all available facts and figures.
Professional analysts build numerical models for predicting profit and
other factors several years into the future. This enables current
valuation on the shares, and in turn, comparison with current market
prices. The analyst provides an opinion on whether a company's shares
are under or overvalued, which will ultimately lead to a "buy", "sell"
or "hold" recommendation on the company.
At its simplest, company analysis focuses on:
- Price/earnings ratios (or P/Es) - the current share price relative to the company's profit.
- Dividend yield - the rate of return from dividends.
- Net tangible asset backing - the value of assets theoretically attributable to each share in event of the company being liquidated.
Company
executives will usually have plans, budgets and forecasts on exactly
those things, but there is no accuracy guarantee on a company's view of
its own future.
Managed Funds and Passive Funds
There are two main categories of investment funds: managed funds and passive funds.
Managed Funds
Anyone
can invest in the stock market directly, or indirectly through a
managed fund. The former means buying shares you select through an NZX
Broker. The latter means buying shares or units in an index fund,
investment trust or other form of managed fund which, in turn, buys
into various companies on behalf of you and many others. Managed funds
have distinct advantages including:
- Greater diversification with the use of relatively less capital. (Diversification means owning a variety of shares and investment types from different industry sectors, so in the event of a major fall in the share price of one company, your entire savings are not threatened.)
- Shares are selected by professionals drawing on rigorous company analysis.
The return on share investing through a
fund will be reduced by the fees paid to professional managers and tax
on the fund’s capital gains. Indirect investment in shares gives you no
involvement in the affairs of the company, as your interests are
represented by the fund manager.
Individual investors'
objectives will determine their preference for direct or indirect
investing in shares. Fund managers, using capital from many investors,
are a major feature of any market as they form and manage large
"portfolios" of shares (and other forms of investment).
Passive Funds
Passive funds usually
track an index and mirror the make-up of that index. They are
categorised as "passive" because in following an index, the fund
manager does not make decisions on what companies the fund will buy
into. The fund is simply re-adjusted to ensure it maintains the correct
weightings of the companies that make up the index.
Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs)
Funds
that are listed and traded on the sharemarket. They usually “track” an
index by holding a basket of securities with weightings based on the
relative index weights of the companies included in that index.
Investors buy a share in the ETF, which is essentially a diversified
basket of the securities in the index that the fund tracks. As ETFs are
normally passively managed, the main costs are brokerage and management
fees, which are low compared to managed funds.
Risk vs Return
There are risks involved in any
investment - risks that the return will be lower than expected and
risks that some or all of the money invested (the capital) will not
come back.
Investing is always subject to one fundamental
principle - the higher the risk, the higher the return (and vice
versa). Some forms of investment, like bank deposits, are widely
recognised as low risk but they usually give lower returns. Generally
speaking, shares are higher-risk than deposits, debt securities and
property. But they also offer the prospect of much higher returns,
especially over the longer term.
The risks in share investing
are closely linked to all the uncertainties that exist around
businesses and the profitability of companies, now and in the future.
Some companies - especially those with established businesses and
steady profits from year to year - involve far less risk than others
(although returns tend to be lower as well).
The risks can be
reduced by taking the view of investing for the long term, selecting
shares carefully and spreading investment across different types of
companies (the process of "diversification"). NZX's regulatory
framework also helps reduce risks that could arise from a lack of
information, poor conduct by companies or share trading irregularities,
by providing rules which all market participants must adhere to.
While
history shows that share prices will rise over time, there are no
guarantees - especially when it comes to individual companies. Unlike
debt securities, which promise a payout at the end of a specified
period plus interest along the way, returns from shares come from
dividends companies pay out of their profits, and capital appreciation
of the shares through a rising share price. Neither of these can be
guaranteed.
The worst-case scenario is that a company goes
bankrupt and the value of your investment evaporates altogether.
Happily, that's rare. More often, a company will run into short-term
problems that depress the price of its shares for what can seem like an
agonisingly long period of time.
In investing, risk is the
chance you take that the returns on a particular investment may vary.
Because of the increased uncertainty of returns, investors will, all
other things being equal, require a higher return if they take on more
risk.
For all the risk, however, there are ways to manage your
exposure. The best is to diversify by owning a variety of shares and
other investment products, such as debt securities. That way, no single
company can endanger your savings. It's also important to remember that
investors are well compensated for taking the risk with shares.
Historically, the long-term return from shares is much higher than for
debt securities, which are less risky. Over time, that spread can make
a huge difference in the earning power of your savings.
So you'd
like to make a fortune in the sharemarket? Who wouldn't? The first
thing you need to understand, before you phone a broker or commit a
cent to a portfolio, is that it's impossible to realise a return on any
investment without facing a certain degree of risk.
No matter
what you decide to do with your savings and investments, your money
will always face some risk. You could stash your cash under your
mattress or in a piggy bank, but then you'd face the risk of losing it
all if your house burnt down. You could deposit your money in the bank,
but the buying power of your savings would barely keep up with
inflation over the years, leaving you with possibly less dollars in
real terms than when you started. Investing in shares, debt securities,
or mutual funds carries risk of varying degrees.
The second fact
you need to face is that in order to receive an increased return from
your investment portfolio, you need to accept an increased amount of
risk. Keeping your money in a savings account reduces your risk, but it
also reduces your potential reward.
While risk in your
investment portfolio may be unavoidable, it is manageable. The riddle
of controlling risk and return is that you need to maximise the returns
and minimise the risk. When you do this, you ensure that you'll make
enough return on your investment, with an acceptable amount of risk.
So,
what constitutes acceptable risk? It's different for every person. A
good rule of thumb followed by many investors is that you shouldn't
wake up in the middle of the night worrying about your portfolio. If
your investments are causing you too much anxiety, it's time to
reconsider how you're investing, and sell those securities that are
keeping you awake at night in favour of investments that are a little
less painful. When you find your own comfort zone, you'll know your
personal risk tolerance - the amount of risk you are willing to
tolerate in order to achieve your financial goals.
Information and the Market
Investors need information. A constant flow
of relevant and timely information is critical if the sharemarket is to
work properly. It really is the lifeblood of the market.
NZX's
regulatory framework is designed largely with this in mind. Companies
are required to disclose information to the market that is material to
the value of their shares as soon as they become aware of the
information - that means any information that might persuade a
reasonable investor to buy or sell shares in a particular company. This
way all investors are equally aware of decisions the company makes that
are likely to affect the share price. This ensures the market is fully
informed and investors all have fair access to material information.
Companies submit
this information by way of market announcements to NZX which are then
distributed to the market and published on the NZX website.
NZX,
NZX Advisors and the news media all focus on conveying information from,
and about, companies to investors and anyone else who might be
interested.
The market is said to be "efficient" when all
information material to the valuation of shares is in circulation - and
hence factored into current market prices.
Data on the market
itself is obviously critical as well. Share prices, volumes of share
traded at particular prices, and current buy/sell quotes are among the
first information investors need. NZX provides market data and pricing
here on www.nzx.com. Daily newspapers provide summary tables on the
most recent trading session. More tailored and in-depth reports are
available from an NZX Advisor.
